Publications
Population declines and changes in community composition at the world’s largest penguin colony
Ratcliffe, N., J. Dickens, G. Clucas, K. Pütz, N. Fenney, E. Mackley, T. Hart, L. Cugniere, C. Colesie, N. Richter, M. Belchier, A. Skachkova, H. Lynch, P. Convey and P. Fretwell. 2026. Population declines and changes in community composition at the world’s largest penguin colony. In press at Current Biology.
Space-based monitoring of penguin diet links sea ice, food webs, and population change
Youngflesh, C., C. Che-Castaldo, M. Schwaller, S. Serbin, M. Polito, and H.J. Lynch. 2026. Space-based monitoring of links sea ice, food webs, and population change. Current Biology 36:1-8.
Winter sea ice decline drives Gentoo penguin population expansion along the Western Antarctic Peninsula
Wethington, M., and H.J. Lynch. 2026. Winter sea ice decline drives Gentoo penguin population expansion along the Western Antarctic Peninsula. Marine Ecology Progress Series 787: meps15149.
Structured monitoring enhances regional trend and abundance estimates for Pygoscelis penguins around the Antarctic Peninsula
Flynn, C.M, and H.J. Lynch. 2026. Structured monitoring enhances regional trend and abundance estimates for Pygoscelis penguins around the Antarctic Peninsula. In press at Antarctic Science.
Detecting Antarctic breeding flying seabird colonies with satellite remote sensing: opportunities and limitations
Lynch, H.J., Schwaller, M., L. Emmerson, K. Blackwell, C. Southwell. 2026. Detecting Antarctic breeding flying seabird colonies with satellite remote sensing: opportunities and limitations. Polar Biology 49: 28.
Demographic rates of Adélie penguins from Approximate Bayesian Computation and time-lapse cameras
Flynn, C.M, I. Juarez, T. Hart, and H.J. Lynch. 2026. Demographic state space models parameterized by time series and camera traps. Ecological Modelling 514:111448.
Revisiting “Penguins in the anthropause: Covid-19 closures drive gentoo penguin movement among breeding colonies”
Flynn, C.M, M. Wethington, M. Hilton, G.V. Clucas, T. Hart, G.R.W. Humphries, C. Nichol, and H.J. Lynch. 2026. Revisiting ‘Penguins in the anthropause: COVID-19 closures drive gentoo penguin movement among breeding colonies. Biological Conservation 315: 111715.
Record phenological responses to climate change in three sympatric penguin species
Martinez, I.J., A. Kacelnik, F.M. Jones, J. Hinke, M.J. Dunn, A. Raya Rey, H.J. Lynch, K. Owen, and T. Hart. 2026. Record phenological responses to climate change in three sympatric penguin species. Journal of Animal Ecology 95: 455-469. doi: 10.1111/1365-2656.70201.
Vulnerability of marine megafauna to global at-sea anthropogenic threats
VanCompernolle, M., ..., H.J. Lynch, ... et al. 2025. Vulnerability of marine megafauna to global at-sea anthropogenic threats. Conservation Biology e70147.
Determining the net influence of biological processes on aqueous hydroxide-based ocean alkalinity enhancement: a mesocosm approach
Fucich, D., H.J. Lynch, C. Shaw, M.D. Eisaman, and M.C. Ringham. 2025. Determining the net influence of biological processes on aqueous hydroxide-based ocean alkalinity enhancement: a mesocosm approach. Frontiers in Climate doi: 10.3389/fclim.2025.1652680.
Temporal and spatial equivalence in demographic responses of emperor penguins (Aptenodytes forsteri) to environmental change
Sen, B., C. Che-Castaldo, M.A. LaRue, K.M. Krumhardt, L. Landrum, M.M. Holland, H.J. Lynch, C. Barbraud, and S. Jenouvrier. Temporal and spatial equivalence in demographic responses of emperor penguin (Aptenodytes forsteri) to environmental change. 2025. In press at Journal of Animal Ecology.
Pygoscelis penguins prefer different oceanographic and terrestrial habitats during the austral summer
Gallagher, K., R. Herman, K. Walton, M.S. Dinniman, and H.J. Lynch. 2025. Pygoscelis penguins prefer different oceanographic and terrestrial habitats during the austral summer. Ecosphere 16:e70091.
Predicting pack-ice seal occupancy of ice floes along the Western Antarctic Peninsula
Wethington, M.J., B. Sen, and H.J. Lynch. 2024. Predicting pack-ice seal occupancy of ice floes along the Western Antarctic Peninsula. PLoS ONE 19(12): e0311747.
Advances and shortfalls in knowledge of Antarctic terrestrial and freshwater biodiversity
Pertierra, L.R., P. Convey, A. Barbosa, E. M. Biersma, D. Cowan, J. A. F. Diniz-Filho, A. de los Ríos, P. Escribano-Álvarez, C. I. Fraser, D. Fontaneto, M. Greve, H. J. Griffiths, M. Harris, K. A. Hughes, H. J. Lynch, R. J. Ladle, X. P. Liu, P. C. le Roux, R. Majewska, M. A. Molina-Montenegro, L. S. Peck, A. Quesada, C. Ronquillo, Y. Ropert-Coudert, L. G. Sancho, A. Terauds, G. Varliero, J. A. Vianna, A. Wilmotte, S. L. Chown, M. Á. Olalla-Tárraga, and J. Hortal. 2025. Frozen but lively: ecological research advances and key knowledge gaps in terrestrial and freshwater Antarctic biodiversity science. Science 387: 609-615.
Penguin colony georegistration using camera pose estimation and phototourism
Wu, H., C. Flynn, C. Hall, C. Che-Castaldo, D. Samaras, M. Schwaller, and H.J. Lynch. 2024. Penguin colony georegistration using camera pose estimation and phototourism. PLoS ONE 19(10): e0311038.
Detecting stochasticity in population time series using a non-parametric test of intrinsic predictability
Sen, B., C. Che-Castaldo, H.J. Lynch, F. Ventura, M.A. LaRue, and S. Jenouvrier. 2024. Detecting stochasticity in population time series using a non-parametric test of intrinsic predictability. Methods in Ecology and Evolution doi: 10.1111/2041-210X.14423.
The influence of biotic and abiotic factors on the bacterial microbiome of gentoo penguins (Pygoscelis papua) in their natural environment
Kaczvinsky, C., H. Levy, S. Preston, C. Youngflesh, G. Clucas, H.J. Lynch, A.L. Smith, and T. Hart. The influence of biotic and abiotic factors on the bacterial microbiome of gentoo penguins (Pygoscelis papua) in their natural environment. 2024. Scientific Reports 14:17933.
Update on the abundance and distribution of Macaroni penguins (Eudyptes chrysolophus) in the Antarctic Peninsula region
Hallet, M., and H.J. Lynch. 2024. Update on the abundance and distribution of Macaroni Penguins (Eudyptes chrysolophus) in the Antarctic Peninsula region. Polar Biology 47: 607-615.
Quantifying krill connectivity across the west Antarctic Peninsula and its role in large-scale Pygoscelis penguin population dynamics
Gallagher, K., M. Dinniman, and H.J. Lynch. 2023. Quantifying Antarctic krill connectivity across the West Antarctic Peninsula and its role in large-scale Pygoscelis penguin population dynamics. Scientific Reports 13: 12072.
Satellite remote sensing for wildlife research in the polar regions
Lynch, H.J. Satellite remote sensing for wildlife research in the polar regions. 2023. Marine Technology Society Journal 57(3): 43-50.
Quantifying potential marine debris sources and potential threats to penguins on the West Antarctic Peninsula
Gallagher, K., M. Cimino, M.S. Dinniman, and H.J. Lynch. 2024. Quantifying potential marine debris sources and potential threats to penguins on the West Antarctic Peninsula. Environmental Pollution 347: 123714
TerrANTALife 1.0: Biodiversity data checklist of known Antarctic terrestrial and freshwater lifeforms
Pertierra, L.R., G. Varliero, A. Barbosa, E.M. Biersma, P. Convey, S.L. Chown, D. Cowan, A. De los Rios, P. Escribano-Alvarez, D. Fontaneto, C.I. Fraser, M. Harris, K.A. Hughes, H.J. Griffiths, P.C. le Roux, X.P. Liu, H.J. Lynch, P.A. Martinez, M.A. Molina-Montenegro, M.A. Olalla-Tarraga, L. Peck, A. Quesada, Y. Ropert-Coudert, L. Sancho, A. Terauds, J.A. Vianna, A. Wilmotte, J. Hortal, and M. Greve. 2024. ANTALIFE 1.0 Biodiversity data checklist of all Antarctic terrestrial and freshwater life forms in the continent. Biodiversity Data Journal 12: e106199.
Whole genome sequencing reveals stepping stone dispersal buffered against founder effects in a range expanding seabird
Herman, R.W., G. Clucas, J. Younger, J. Bates, B. Robinson, S. Reddy, J. Stepanuk, K. O’Brien, K. Veeramah, and H.J. Lynch. 2024. Whole genome sequencing reveals stepping stone dispersal buffered against founder effects in a range expanding seabird. Molecular Ecology 00:e17282.
Species classification of Antarctic pack-ice seals using very-high-resolution satellite imagery
Wethington, M.J., B.C. Goncalves, E. Talis, and H.J. Lynch. 2023. Species classification of Antarctic pack-ice seals using very-high-resolution satellite imagery. Marine Mammal Science 1-17.
Penguins in the Anthropause: Covid-19 closures drive gentoo penguin movement among breeding colonies
Flynn, C.M, T. Hart, G.V. Clucas, and H.J. Lynch. 2023. Penguins in the anthropause: Covid-19 closures drive Gentoo penguin movement among breeding colonies. Biological Conservation 286: 110318.
Capturing stochasticity properly is key to understanding the LPI
Talis, E., and H.J. Lynch. 2023. Letter: Capturing stochasticity properly is key to understanding the nuances of the Living Planet Index. Nature Ecology & Evolution https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-023-02086-w
Antarctic Penguin Biogeography Project
Che-Castaldo, C., G. Humphries, and H.J. Lynch. 2023. Antarctic Penguin Biogeography Project: Database of abundance and distribution for the Adélie, chinstrap, gentoo, emperor, macaroni, and king penguin south of 60 S. Biodiversity Data Journal 11: e101476.
Penguindex: A Living Planet Index for Pygoscelis Species Penguins
Talis, Emma, C. Che-Castaldo, T. Hart, L. McCrae, and H.J. Lynch. 2023. Penguindex: A biodiversity indicator for Pygoscelis spp. penguins identifies key eras of population change. Polar Biology, Online at https://doi.org/10.1007/s00300-023-03148-2
Adelie penguins north and east of the Adelie gap continue to thrive in the face of dramatic declines
Wethington, M., C. Flynn, A. Borowicz, and H.J. Lynch. 2023. Adélie penguins north and east of the ‘Adélie gap’ continue to thrive in the face of dramatic declines elsewhere in the Antarctic Peninsula region. Scientific Reports 13: 2525.
Spatio-temporal transferability of environmentally dependent population models
Sen, B., C. Che-Castaldo, K. Krumhardt, L. Landrum, M.M. Holland, M.A. LaRue, M.C. Long, S. Jenouvrier, and H.J. Lynch. 2023. Spatio-temporal transferability of environmentally-dependent population models: Insights from the intrinsic predictabilities of Adelie penguin abundance time series. Ecological Indicators 150: 110239.
Ant-ICON ‘Integrated Science to Inform Antarctic and Southern Ocean Conservation’
Hughes, K.A., M. Santos, J. A. Caccavo, S. Chignell, N. Gardiner, N. Gilbert, A. Howkins, B. J. van Vuuren, J. R. Lee, D. Liggett, A. Lowther, H. Lynch, A. Quesada, H. Chul Shin, A. Soutullo, and A. Terauds. 2022. Ant-ICON ‘Integrated Science to Inform Antarctic and Southern Ocean Conservation’: a new SCAR research programme. Antarctic Science 34(6): 446-455.
Difficulties in summing log-normal distributions for abundance and potential solutions
Talis, E., C. Che-Castaldo, and H.J. Lynch. 2023. Difficulties in summing distributions for abundance and potential solutions. PLoS ONE 18(1): e0280351.
Threat management priorities for conserving Antarctic biodiversity
Lee, J. R., A. Terauds, J. Carwardine, J. D. Shaw, R. A. Fuller, H. P. Possingham, S. L. Chown, P. Convey, N. Gilbert, K. A. Hughes, E. McIvor, S. Robinson, Y. Ropert-Coudert, D. Bergstrom, E. M. Biersma, C. Christian, D. Cowan, Y. Frenot, S. Jenouvrier, L. Kelley, M. J. Lee, H.J. Lynch, B. Njastad, A. Quesada, R. Roura, E.A. Shaw, D. Stanwell-Smith, M. Tsujimoto, D. H. Wall, A. Wilmotte, and I. Chadès. Threat management priorities for conserving Antarctic biodiversity. PLoS Biology 20(12): e3001921.
Variability, skipped breeding, and heavy-tailed dynamics in an Antarctic seabird
Talis, E., C. Che-Castaldo, B. Sen, K. Krumhardt, and H.J. Lynch. Variability, skipped breeding, and heavy-tailed dynamics in an Antarctic seabird. Journal of Animal Ecology 91: 2437-2450.
SealNet 2.0: Human-level fully-automated pack-ice seal detection
Goncalves, B.C., M. Wethington, and H.J. Lynch. 2022. SealNet 2.0: Human-level fully-automated pack-ice seal detection in very-high resolution satellite imagery with CNN model ensembles. Remote Sensing 14(22): 5655.
Age-structured model reveals prolonged immigration is key for colony establishment in gentoo penguins
Herman, R.W, and H.J. Lynch. 2022. Age-structured model reveals prolonged immigration is key for colony establishment in Gentoo Penguins. In Press at Ornithological Applications.
Islands in the ice: Potential impacts of habitat transformation on Antarctic biodiversity
Lee, J.R., M.J. Waterman, J.D. Shaw, D.M. Bergstrom, H.J. Lynch, D.H. Wall, and S.A. Robinson. 2022. Islands in the ice: Potential impacts of habitat transformation on Antarctic biodiversity. In Press at Global Change Biology.
Switching state-space models for modeling penguin population dynamics
El-Laham, Y., M. Bugallo, and H.J. Lynch. 2022. Switching state-space models for modeling penguin population dynamics. In Press at Environmental and Ecological Statistics.
A Convolutional Neural Network Architecture Designed for the Automated Survey of Seabird Colonies
Le, H., D. Samaras, and H.J. Lynch. 2022. A convolutional neural network architecture designed for the automated survey of seabird colonies. Remote Sensing of Ecology & Conservation 8(2): 251-262.
Lack of Synchronized Breeding Success in a Seabird Community: Extreme Events, Niche Separation, and Environmental Variability
Youngflesh, C., Y. Li, H.J. Lynch, K. Delord, C. Barbraud, R. Ji, and S. Jenouvrier. 2021. In press at Oikos.
Fine-Scale Sea Ice Extraction for High-Resolution Satellite Imagery with Weakly-Supervised CNNs
Goncalves, B.G. and H.J. Lynch. 2021. Remote Sensing 13: 3562.
Comparing Workflow Application Designs for High Resolution Satellite Image Analysis
Al-Saadi, A., I. Paraskevakos, B.C. Goncalves, H.J. Lynch, S. Jha, and M. Turilli. 2021. Future Generation Computer Systems 124: 315-329.
Ecosystems Services in Antarctica: Global Assessment of the Current State, Future Challenges and Managing Opportunities
Pertierra, L.R., F. Santos-Martin, K.A. Hughes, C. Avila, J.O. Caceres, D. De Filippo, S. Gonzalez, S. Grant, H. Lynch, C. Marina-Montes, A. Quesada, P. Tejedo, T. Tin, J. Benayas. 2021. Ecosystem Services 49: 101299.
Social Sensors for Wildlife: Ecological Opportunities in the Era of Camera Ubiquity
Borowicz, A., H.J. Lynch, T. Estro, C. Foley, B. Goncalves, K. Herman, S.K. Adamczak, and L. Thorne. 2021. Frontiers in Marine Science 8: 385.
The Role of Wind Fetch in Structuring Antarctic Seabird Breeding Occupancy
Schrimpf, M., and H.J. Lynch. 2021. Ibis 163(2): 695-705.
Marine Important Bird and Biodiversity Areas for Penguins in Antarctica, Proxies for Conservation Action
Handley, J., M.-M. Rouyer, L. Pearmain, V. Warwick-Evans, K. Teschke, J. Hinke, H. Lynch, L. Emmerson, C. Southwell, G. Griffith, A. Franco, P. Trathan, M. P. Dias. 2021. Frontiers in Marine Science 7: 1190.
Fifty-Year Change in Penguin Abundance on Elephant Island, South Shetland Islands, Antarctica: Results of the 2019-20 Census
Strycker, N., A. Borowicz, M. Wethington, S. Forrest, V. Shah, Y. Liu, H. Singh, H. J. Lynch. 2021. Polar Biology 44(1): 1-12.
A Global Population Assessment of the Chinstrap Penguin (Pygoscelis antarctica)
Strycker, N., M. Wethington, A. Borowicz, S. Forrest, C. Witharana, T. Hart, H. J. Lynch. 2020. Scientific Reports 10: 19474.
Update on the Global Abundance and Distribution of Gentoo Penguins (Pygoscelis papua)
Herman, R., A. Borowicz, M. Lynch, P. Trathan, and H.J. Lynch. 2020. Polar Biology 43: 1947-1956.
Presence of King Penguins (Aptenodytes patagonicus) on Elephant Island Provides Further Evidence of Range Expansion
Borowicz, A., S. Forrest, N. Strycker, M. Wethington, H. J. Lynch. 2020. Polar Biology 43: 2117-2120.
Large-Scale Assessment of Intra- and Inter-Annual Breeding Success Using a Remote Camera Network
Youngflesh, C., F.M. Jones, H.J. Lynch, J. Arthur, Z. Rockaiova, H. Torsey, and T. Hart. 2020. Remote Sensing in Ecology and Conservation 7(1): 97-108.
Sea Ice Predicts Long-Term Trends in Adélie Penguin Population Growth, But Not Annual Fluctuations: Results From a Range-Wide Multi-Scale Analysis
Iles, D.A., H.J. Lynch, R. Ji, C. Barbraud, K. Delord, and S. Jenouvrier. 2020. Global Change Biology 26: 3788-3798.
Correcting for Within-Season Demographic Turnover to Estimate the Island-Wide Population of King Penguins (Aptenodytes patagonicus) on South Georgia
Foley, C.M., W.F. Fagan, and H.J. Lynch. 2020. Polar Biology 43: 251-262.
SealNet: A Fully Automated Pack-Ice Seal Detection Pipeline for Sub-Meter Satellite Imagery
Goncalves, B., B. Spitzbart, and H.J. Lynch. 2020. Remote Sensing of Environment 239: 111617.
Regional Breeding Bird Assessment of the Antarctic Peninsula
Schrimpf, M., C. Che-Castaldo, and H.J. Lynch. 2020. Polar Biology 43, 111–122
Estimating the Pre-Exploitation Population Size of a Historically Harvested Marine Mammal
Foley, C.M. and H.J. Lynch. 2020. Conservation Biology 34(1): 256-265.
Aerial-Trained Deep Learning Networks for Surveying Cetaceans From Satellite Imagery
Borowicz, A., H. Le, G. Humphries, G. Nehls, C. Höschle, V. Kosarev, and H.J. Lynch. 2019. PLoS ONE 14(10): e0212532.
When the “Selfish Herd” Becomes the “Frozen Herd”: Spatial Dynamics and Population Persistence in a Colonial Seabird
McDowall, P., and H.J. Lynch. 2019. Ecology 100(10): c02823.
Tourism and Stress Hormone Measures in Gentoo Penguins on the Antarctic Peninsula
Lynch, M.A., C. Youngflesh, N.H. Agha, M.A. Ottinger, and H.J. Lynch. 2019. Polar Biology 42: 1299-1306.
Predicting the Future Is Hard and Other Lessons From a Population Time Series Data Science Competition
Humphries, G.R.W., C. Che-Castaldo, P. J. Bull, G. Lipstein, A. Ravia, B. Carrión, T. Bolton, A. Ganguly, H. J. Lynch. 2018. Ecological Informatics 48: 1-11.
A Continent-Wide Search for Antarctic Petrel Breeding Sites With Satellite Remote Sensing
Schwaller, M.R., H.J. Lynch, A. Tarroux, and B. Prehn. 2018. Remote Sensing of Environment 210: 444-451.
Multi-Modal Survey of Adélie Penguin Mega-Colonies Reveals the Danger Islands as a Seabird Hotspot
Borowicz, A., P. McDowall, C. Youngflesh, T. Sayre-McCord, G. Clucas, R. Herman, S. Forrest, M. Rider, M. Schwaller, T. Hart, S. Jenouvrier, M.J. Polito, H. Singh, and H.J. Lynch. 2018. Scientific Reports 3926.
[#59 for Altmetric’s Top 100 Stories for 2018]
Rethinking ‘Normal’: The Role of Stochasticity in the Phenology of a Synchronously Breeding Seabird
Youngflesh, C., S. Jenouvrier, J.T. Hinke, L. DuBois, J. St. Leger, W.Z. Trivelpiece, S.G. Trivelpiece, and H.J. Lynch. 2018. Journal of Animal Ecology 87(3): 682-690.
King Penguin Populations Increase on South Georgia But Explanations Remain Elusive
Foley, C.M., T. Hart, and H.J. Lynch. 2018. Polar Biology 41(6): 1111-1122.
Population Status of the Antarctic Shag (Phalacrocorax [atriceps] bransfieldensis)
Schrimpf, M., R. Naveen, and H.J. Lynch. 2018. Antarctic Science 30(3): 151-159.
Pan-Antarctic Analysis Aggregating Spatial Estimates of Adélie Penguin Abundance Reveals Robust Dynamics Despite Stochastic Noise
Che-Castaldo, C., S. Jenouvrier, C. Youngflesh, K. Shoemaker, G. Humphries, P. McDowall, L. Landrum, M. Holland, Y. Li, R. Ji, H.J. Lynch. 2017. Nature Communications 8: 832.
Variation in the Ecstatic Display Call of the Gentoo Penguin (Pygoscelis papua) Across Regional Geographic Scales
Lynch, M.A., and H.J. Lynch. 2017. Auk 134(4): 894-902.
The Importance of Topographically Correct Null Models for Analyzing Ecological Point Processes
McDowall, P., and H.J. Lynch. 2017. Ecology 98: 1764-1770.
Antarctica and the Strategic Plan for Biodiversity 2011–2020
Chown, S.L., M.A. McGeoch, A. Terauds, C. Le Bohec, C. van Klaveren-Impagliazzo, J. Whittington, C. Brooks, S. Butchart, B.W.T Coetzee, B. Collen, P. Convey, K.J. Gaston, N. Gilbert, M. Gill, R. Höft, S. Johnston, M.C. Kennicutt II, H. Kriesell, Y. Le Maho, H.J. Lynch, M. Palomares, R. Puig-Marcó, P. Stoett. 2017. PLoS Biology 15(3): e2001656.
Mapping Application for Penguin Populations and Projected Dynamics (MAPPPD): Data and Tools for Dynamic Management and Decision Support
Humphries G.R.W., C. Che-Castaldo, R. Naveen, M. Schwaller, P. McDowall, M Schrimpf, H.J. Lynch. 2017. Polar Record 53(2): 160-166.
Listing Foreign Species Under the Endangered Species Act: A Primer for Conservation Biologists?
Foley, C., M. Lynch, L. H. Thorne, and H.J. Lynch. 2017. BioScience 67(7): 627-637.
Circumpolar Analysis of the Adélie Penguin Reveals the Importance of Environmental Variability in Phenological Mismatch
Youngflesh, C., S. Jenouvrier, Y. Li, R. Ji, D. G. Ainley, G. Ballard, C. Barbraud, K. Delord, K. M. Dugger, L. M. Emmerson, W. R. Fraser, J. T. Hinke, P. O’B. Lyver, S. Olmastroni, C. J. Southwell, S. G. Trivelpiece, W. Z. Trivelpiece, H. J. Lynch. 2017. Ecology 98(4): 940-951.
Ultra-Fine Spatially-Integrated Mapping of Habitat and Occupancy Using Structure-from-Motion
McDowall, P., and H.J. Lynch. 2017. PLoS ONE 12(1): e0166773.
Improving the Use of Biological Data in Antarctic Management
Lynch, M., C. Foley, L. H. Thorne, and H. J. Lynch. 2016. Antarctic Science 28(6): 425-431.
Asymmetric Response of Adélie Penguins to Antarctic Climate Change
Cimino, M.A., H. J. Lynch, V.S. Saba, and M.J. Oliver. 2016. Scientific Reports 6:28785.
Benchmarking of Data Fusion Algorithms in Support of Earth Observation Based Antarctic Wildlife Monitoring
Witharana, C., M.A. LaRue, and H.J. Lynch. 2016. ISPRS Journal of Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing 113: 124-143.
An Object-Based Image Analysis Approach for Detecting Penguin Guano From Very High Spatial Resolution Satellite Images
Witharana, C., and H.J. Lynch. 2016. Remote Sensing 8(5): 375.
In Stark Contrast to Widespread Declines Along the Scotia Arc, a Survey of the South Sandwich Islands Finds a Robust Seabird Community
Lynch, H.J., R. White, R. Naveen, A.D. Black, M.S. Meixler, and W.F. Fagan. 2016. Polar Biology 39: 1615-1625.
Population Structure and Phylogeography of the Gentoo Penguin (Pygoscelis papua) Across the Scotia Arc
Levy, H., G. Clucas, A. Rogers, A.D. Leaché, K. Ciborowski, M. Polito, H.J. Lynch, M. Dunn, and T. Hart. 2016. Ecology and Evolution 6(6): 1834-1853.
Spatial Patterns of Tour Ship Traffic in the Antarctic Peninsula Region: A Twenty-Year Re-Analysis
Bender, N., K. Crosbie, and H.J. Lynch. 2016. Antarctic Science 28(3): 194-203.
A Comprehensive Coastal Seabird Survey Maps Out the Front Lines of Ecological Change on the Western Antarctic Peninsula
Casanovas, P.V., R. Naveen, S. Forrest, J. Poncet, H.J. Lynch. 2015. Polar Biology 38:927-940.
Pollution, Habitat Loss, Fishing, and Climate Change as Critical Threats to Penguins
Trathan, P. N., P. García-Borboroglu, D. Boersma, C.-A. Bost, R. J. M. Crawford, G. T. Crossin, R. J. Cuthbert, P. Dann, L. S. Davis, S. De la Puente, U. Ellenberg, H.J. Lynch, T. Mattern, K. Pütz, P. J. Seddon, W. Trivelpiece, B. Wienecke. 2015. Conservation Biology 29(1): 31-41.
Emigration in Emperor Penguins: Implications for Interpretation of Long-Term Studies
LaRue, M., G. Kooyman, H.J. Lynch, and P. Fretwell. 2015. Ecography 38:114-120.
Dealing With Under- and Over-Dispersed Count Data in Life History, Spatial, and Community Ecology
Lynch, H.J., J. Thorson, O. Shelton. 2014. Ecology 95(11): 3173-3180.
Multi-Sensor Cross Validation of Adélie Penguin Detection and Abundance Estimation
Lynch, H. J., and M.R. Schwaller. 2014. PLoS ONE 9(11): e113301.
First Global Survey of Adélie Penguin Populations
Lynch, H.J., and M.A. LaRue. 2014. The Auk 131(4): 457-466.
Using Citizen Science to Estimate Lichen Diversity
Casanovas, P.V., H.J. Lynch, and W.F. Fagan. 2014. Biological Conservation 171: 1-8.
Establishing a Method to Estimate Adélie Penguin Populations Using Remotely-Sensed Imagery
LaRue, M.A., H.J. Lynch, P. Lyver, K. Barton, D.G. Ainley, A.M. Pollard, W. Fraser, G. Ballard. 2014. Polar Biology 37: 507-517.
Modeling Structured Population Dynamics Using Data From Unmarked Individuals
Zipkin. E.F., J.T. Thorson, K. See, H. J. Lynch, E.H.C. Grant, Y. Kanno, R.B. Chandler, B.H. Letcher, J.A. Royle. 2014. Ecology 95: 22-29.
How Climate Extremes - Not Means - Define a Species’ Geographic Range Boundary Via a Demographic Tipping Point
Lynch, H.J., M. Rhainds, J. Calabrese, S. Cantrell, C. Cosner, and W.F. Fagan. 2014. Ecological Monographs 84:131-149.
Antarctic Site Inventory Breeding Bird Survey Data 1994/95-2012/13
Lynch, H.J., R. Naveen, P.V. Casanovas. 2013. Ecology (Data Paper) 94(11): 2653.
Phylogenetic Prediction of the Maximum Per Capita Rate of Population Growth
Fagan, W.F., Y. Pearson, E.A. Larsen, H.J. Lynch, J. Turner, H. Staver, A. Noble, S. Bewick, and E.E. Goldberg. 2013. Proceedings of the Royal Society B 280: 20130523.
Understanding Lichen Diversity on the Antarctic Peninsula Using Parataxonomic Units as a Surrogate for Species Richness
Casanovas, P., H.J. Lynch, R. Naveen, and W.F. Fagan. 2013. Ecology (Data Paper) 94(9): 2110-2110.
Sensitivity Analysis Identifies High Influence Sites for Estimates of Penguin Krill Consumption on the Antarctic Peninsula
Lynch, H.J., N. Ratcliffe, J. Passmore, E. Foster, P.N. Trathan. 2013. Antarctic Science 25(1): 19-23.
Overwintering Survival of Bagworms, Thyridopteryx ephemeraeformis Haworth (Lepidoptera: Psychidae): Influence of Temperature and Egg Cluster Weight
Rhainds, M., J. Régnière, H.J. Lynch, and W.F. Fagan. 2013. The Canadian Entomologist 145:77-81.
Multi-Scale Patterns of Lichen and Moss Richness on the Antarctic Peninsula
Casanovas, P., H.J. Lynch, and W.F. Fagan. 2013. Ecography 36: 209-219.
Penguin Eggshell Membranes Reflect Homogeneity of Mercury in the Marine Food Web Surrounding the Antarctic Peninsula
Brasso, R.L., M.J. Polito, H.J. Lynch, R. Naveen, and S.D. Emslie. 2012. Total Science of the Environment 439: 165-171.
First Direct, Site-Wide Penguin Survey at Deception Island, Antarctica Suggests Significant Declines in Breeding Chinstrap Penguins
Naveen, R.*, H. J. Lynch*, S. Forrest, T. Mueller, and M. Polito. 2012. Polar Biology 35(12): 1879-1888. [* joint first authors]
Spatially Integrated Assessment Reveals Widespread Changes in Penguin Populations on the Antarctic Peninsula
Lynch, H.J., R. Naveen, P.N. Trathan and W.F. Fagan. 2012. Ecology 93(6): 1367-1377.
Interbasin Water Transfer, Riverine Connectivity, and Spatial Controls on Fish Biodiversity
Grant, E.H.C., H.J. Lynch, R. Muneepeerakul, M. Arunachalam, I. Rodriguez-Iturbe, and W.F. Fagan. 2012. PLoS ONE 7(3): e34170.
Detection, Differentiation, and Abundance Estimation of Penguin Species by High-Resolution Satellite Imagery
Lynch, H.J., R. White, A.D. Black, and R. Naveen. 2012. Polar Biology 35: 963-968.
Differential Advancement of Breeding Phenology in Response to Climate May Alter Staggered Breeding Among Sympatric Pygoscelid Penguins
Lynch, H.J., W.F. Fagan, R. Naveen, S.G. Trivelpiece, and W.Z. Trivelpiece. 2012. Marine Ecology Progress Series 454: 135-145.
How Restructuring River Connectivity Changes Freshwater Fish Biodiversity and Biogeography
Lynch, H.J., E.H.C. Grant, R. Muneepeerakul, M. Arunachalam, I. Rodriguez-Iturbe, and W.F. Fagan. 2011. Water Resources Research 47(5): W05531.
Stable Isotopes Reveal Regional Heterogeneity in the Pre-Breeding Distribution and Diets of Sympatrically Breeding Pygoscelis spp. Penguins
Polito, M.J., H.J. Lynch, R. Naveen, and S.D. Emslie. 2011. Marine Ecology Progress Series 421: 265-277.
Survivorship Patterns in Captive Mammalian Populations: Implications for Estimating Population Growth Rates
Lynch, H.J., S. Zeigler, L. Wells, J.D. Ballou, W.F. Fagan. 2010. Ecological Applications 20(8): 2334-2345.
Spatial Patterns of Tour Ship Traffic in the Antarctic Peninsula Region
Lynch, H.J., K. Crosbie, W.F. Fagan, R. Naveen. 2010. Antarctic Science 22(2): 123-130.
Population Trends and Reproductive Success at a Frequently Visited Penguin Colony on the Western Antarctic Peninsula
Lynch, H.J., W.F. Fagan, and R. Naveen. 2010. Polar Biology 33(4): 493-503.
Effects of Branching Spatial Structure and Life History on the Asymptotic Growth Rate of a Population
Goldberg, E., H.J. Lynch, M. Neubert, W.F. Fagan. 2010. Theoretical Ecology 3(3): 137-152.
Pitfalls and Challenges of Estimating Population Growth Rate From Empirical Data: Consequences for Allometric Scaling Relations
Fagan, W.F., H.J. Lynch, and B. Noon. 2010. Oikos 119(3): 455-464.
On the Geographic Range of Freshwater Fish in River Basins
Bertuzzo, E., R. Muneepeerakul, H.J. Lynch, W.F. Fagan, I. Rodriguez-Iturbe, and A. Rinaldo. 2009. Water Resources Research 45: W11420.
Long-Term Changes in Populations of Seabirds on Petermann Island and Surrounding Islands in Graham Land, Antarctic Peninsula
Chesalin, M. R. Naveen, H. Lynch, I. Bullock, M. Rider, A. Miller, S. Forrest, R. Dagit, I. Dykyy, and V. Timofeyev. 2009. Marine Ecological Journal VIII(3): 5-13.
Survivorship Curves and Their Impact on the Estimation of Maximum Population Growth Rates
Lynch, H.J. and W.F. Fagan. 2009. Ecology 90(4): 1116-1124.
Timing of Clutch Initiation in Pygoscelis Penguins on the Antarctic Peninsula: Towards an Improved Understanding of Off-Peak Census Correction Factors
Lynch, H.J., W.F. Fagan, R. Naveen, S.G. Trivelpiece, and W.Z. Trivelpiece. 2009. CCAMLR Science 16:149-165.
Censuses of Penguin, Blue-Eyed Shag Phalacrocorax Atriceps and Southern Giant Petrel Macronectes Giganteus Populations on the Antarctic Peninsula, 2001-2007
Lynch, H.J., R. Naveen, and W.F. Fagan. 2008. Marine Ornithology 36: 83-97.
A Spatiotemporal Ripley’s K-function to Analyze Between Spruce Budworm and Fire in British Columbia, Canada
Lynch, H.J. and P.R. Moorcroft. 2008. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 38: 3112-3119.
Neutral Metacommunity Models Predict Fish Diversity Patterns in Mississippi-Missouri Basin
Muneepeerakul, R., E. Bertuzzo, H.J. Lynch, W.F. Fagan, A. Rinaldo, and I. Rodriguez-Iturbe. 2008. Nature 453: 220-223.
The Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem: Challenges for Regional Ecosystem Management
Lynch, H.J., S. Hodge, C. Albert, and M. Dunham. 2008. Environmental Management 41: 820-833.
The Influence of Previous Mountain Pine Beetle (Dendroctonus ponderosae) Activity on the 1988 Yellowstone Fires
Lynch, H.J., R.A. Renkin, R.L. Crabtree, and P.R. Moorcroft. 2006. Ecosystems 9: 1318-1327.
Differential Charge Sensing and Charge Delocalization in a Tunable Double Quantum Dot
DiCarlo, L., H.J. Lynch, A.C. Johnson, L.I. Childress, K. Crockett, C.M. Marcus, M.P. Hanson, and A.C. Gossard. 2004. Physical Review Letters 92: 226801.
Low-Temperature Fate of the ‘0.7 Structure’ in a Point Contact: A Kondo-like Correlated State in an Open System
Cronenwett, S.M., H. J. Lynch, D. Goldhaber-Gordon, L. P. Kouwenhoven, C. M. Marcus, K. Hirose, N. S. Wingreen, and V. Umansky. 2002. Physical Review Letters 88: 226805.