Publications

Journal articles Heather Lynch Journal articles Heather Lynch

Detecting Antarctic breeding flying seabird colonies with satellite remote sensing: opportunities and limitations

Lynch, H.J., Schwaller, M., L. Emmerson, K. Blackwell, C. Southwell. 2026. Detecting Antarctic breeding flying seabird colonies with satellite remote sensing: opportunities and limitations. Polar Biology 49: 28.

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Journal articles Heather Lynch Journal articles Heather Lynch

Demographic rates of Adélie penguins from Approximate Bayesian Computation and time-lapse cameras

Flynn, C.M, I. Juarez, T. Hart, and H.J. Lynch. 2026. Demographic state space models parameterized by time series and camera traps. Ecological Modelling 514:111448.

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Journal articles Heather Lynch Journal articles Heather Lynch

Revisiting “Penguins in the anthropause: Covid-19 closures drive gentoo penguin movement among breeding colonies”

Flynn, C.M, M. Wethington, M. Hilton, G.V. Clucas, T. Hart, G.R.W. Humphries, C. Nichol, and H.J. Lynch. 2026. Revisiting ‘Penguins in the anthropause: COVID-19 closures drive gentoo penguin movement among breeding colonies. Biological Conservation 315: 111715.

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Journal articles Heather Lynch Journal articles Heather Lynch

Record phenological responses to climate change in three sympatric penguin species

Martinez, I.J., A. Kacelnik, F.M. Jones, J. Hinke, M.J. Dunn, A. Raya Rey, H.J. Lynch, K. Owen, and T. Hart. 2026. Record phenological responses to climate change in three sympatric penguin species. Journal of Animal Ecology 95: 455-469. doi: 10.1111/1365-2656.70201.

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Journal articles Heather Lynch Journal articles Heather Lynch

Vulnerability of marine megafauna to global at-sea anthropogenic threats

VanCompernolle, M., ..., H.J. Lynch, ... et al. 2025. Vulnerability of marine megafauna to global at-sea anthropogenic threats. Conservation Biology e70147.

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Journal articles Heather Lynch Journal articles Heather Lynch

Determining the net influence of biological processes on aqueous hydroxide-based ocean alkalinity enhancement: a mesocosm approach

Fucich, D., H.J. Lynch, C. Shaw, M.D. Eisaman, and M.C. Ringham. 2025. Determining the net influence of biological processes on aqueous hydroxide-based ocean alkalinity enhancement: a mesocosm approach. Frontiers in Climate doi: 10.3389/fclim.2025.1652680.

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Journal articles Heather Lynch Journal articles Heather Lynch

Temporal and spatial equivalence in demographic responses of emperor penguins (Aptenodytes forsteri) to environmental change

Sen, B., C. Che-Castaldo, M.A. LaRue, K.M. Krumhardt, L. Landrum, M.M. Holland, H.J. Lynch, C. Barbraud, and S. Jenouvrier. Temporal and spatial equivalence in demographic responses of emperor penguin (Aptenodytes forsteri) to environmental change. 2025. In press at Journal of Animal Ecology.

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Journal articles Heather Lynch Journal articles Heather Lynch

Pygoscelis penguins prefer different oceanographic and terrestrial habitats during the austral summer

Gallagher, K., R. Herman, K. Walton, M.S. Dinniman, and H.J. Lynch. 2025. Pygoscelis penguins prefer different oceanographic and terrestrial habitats during the austral summer. Ecosphere 16:e70091.

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Journal articles Heather Lynch Journal articles Heather Lynch

Predicting pack-ice seal occupancy of ice floes along the Western Antarctic Peninsula

Wethington, M.J., B. Sen, and H.J. Lynch. 2024. Predicting pack-ice seal occupancy of ice floes along the Western Antarctic Peninsula. PLoS ONE 19(12): e0311747.

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Journal articles Heather Lynch Journal articles Heather Lynch

Advances and shortfalls in knowledge of Antarctic terrestrial and freshwater biodiversity

Pertierra, L.R., P. Convey, A. Barbosa, E. M. Biersma, D. Cowan, J. A. F. Diniz-Filho, A. de los Ríos, P. Escribano-Álvarez, C. I. Fraser, D. Fontaneto, M. Greve, H. J. Griffiths, M. Harris, K. A. Hughes, H. J. Lynch, R. J. Ladle, X. P. Liu, P. C. le Roux, R. Majewska, M. A. Molina-Montenegro, L. S. Peck, A. Quesada, C. Ronquillo, Y. Ropert-Coudert, L. G. Sancho, A. Terauds, G. Varliero, J. A. Vianna, A. Wilmotte, S. L. Chown, M. Á. Olalla-Tárraga, and J. Hortal. 2025. Frozen but lively: ecological research advances and key knowledge gaps in terrestrial and freshwater Antarctic biodiversity science. Science 387: 609-615.

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Journal articles Heather Lynch Journal articles Heather Lynch

Penguin colony georegistration using camera pose estimation and phototourism

Wu, H., C. Flynn, C. Hall, C. Che-Castaldo, D. Samaras, M. Schwaller, and H.J. Lynch. 2024. Penguin colony georegistration using camera pose estimation and phototourism. PLoS ONE 19(10): e0311038.

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Journal articles Heather Lynch Journal articles Heather Lynch

Detecting stochasticity in population time series using a non-parametric test of intrinsic predictability

Sen, B., C. Che-Castaldo, H.J. Lynch, F. Ventura, M.A. LaRue, and S. Jenouvrier. 2024. Detecting stochasticity in population time series using a non-parametric test of intrinsic predictability. Methods in Ecology and Evolution doi: 10.1111/2041-210X.14423.

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Journal articles Heather Lynch Journal articles Heather Lynch

The influence of biotic and abiotic factors on the bacterial microbiome of gentoo penguins (Pygoscelis papua) in their natural environment

Kaczvinsky, C., H. Levy, S. Preston, C. Youngflesh, G. Clucas, H.J. Lynch, A.L. Smith, and T. Hart. The influence of biotic and abiotic factors on the bacterial microbiome of gentoo penguins (Pygoscelis papua) in their natural environment. 2024. Scientific Reports 14:17933.

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Journal articles Heather Lynch Journal articles Heather Lynch

Update on the abundance and distribution of Macaroni penguins (Eudyptes chrysolophus) in the Antarctic Peninsula region

Hallet, M., and H.J. Lynch. 2024. Update on the abundance and distribution of Macaroni Penguins (Eudyptes chrysolophus) in the Antarctic Peninsula region. Polar Biology 47: 607-615.

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Journal articles Heather Lynch Journal articles Heather Lynch

Quantifying krill connectivity across the west Antarctic Peninsula and its role in large-scale Pygoscelis penguin population dynamics

Gallagher, K., M. Dinniman, and H.J. Lynch. 2023. Quantifying Antarctic krill connectivity across the West Antarctic Peninsula and its role in large-scale Pygoscelis penguin population dynamics. Scientific Reports 13: 12072.

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Journal articles Heather Lynch Journal articles Heather Lynch

Satellite remote sensing for wildlife research in the polar regions

Lynch, H.J. Satellite remote sensing for wildlife research in the polar regions. 2023. Marine Technology Society Journal 57(3): 43-50.

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Journal articles Heather Lynch Journal articles Heather Lynch

Quantifying potential marine debris sources and potential threats to penguins on the West Antarctic Peninsula

Gallagher, K., M. Cimino, M.S. Dinniman, and H.J. Lynch. 2024. Quantifying potential marine debris sources and potential threats to penguins on the West Antarctic Peninsula. Environmental Pollution 347: 123714

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Journal articles Heather Lynch Journal articles Heather Lynch

TerrANTALife 1.0: Biodiversity data checklist of known Antarctic terrestrial and freshwater lifeforms

Pertierra, L.R., G. Varliero, A. Barbosa, E.M. Biersma, P. Convey, S.L. Chown, D. Cowan, A. De los Rios, P. Escribano-Alvarez, D. Fontaneto, C.I. Fraser, M. Harris, K.A. Hughes, H.J. Griffiths, P.C. le Roux, X.P. Liu, H.J. Lynch, P.A. Martinez, M.A. Molina-Montenegro, M.A. Olalla-Tarraga, L. Peck, A. Quesada, Y. Ropert-Coudert, L. Sancho, A. Terauds, J.A. Vianna, A. Wilmotte, J. Hortal, and M. Greve. 2024. ANTALIFE 1.0 Biodiversity data checklist of all Antarctic terrestrial and freshwater life forms in the continent. Biodiversity Data Journal 12: e106199.

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Journal articles Heather Lynch Journal articles Heather Lynch

Whole genome sequencing reveals stepping stone dispersal buffered against founder effects in a range expanding seabird

Herman, R.W., G. Clucas, J. Younger, J. Bates, B. Robinson, S. Reddy, J. Stepanuk, K. O’Brien, K. Veeramah, and H.J. Lynch. 2024. Whole genome sequencing reveals stepping stone dispersal buffered against founder effects in a range expanding seabird. Molecular Ecology 00:e17282.

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Journal articles Heather Lynch Journal articles Heather Lynch

Species classification of Antarctic pack-ice seals using very-high-resolution satellite imagery

Wethington, M.J., B.C. Goncalves, E. Talis, and H.J. Lynch. 2023. Species classification of Antarctic pack-ice seals using very-high-resolution satellite imagery. Marine Mammal Science 1-17.

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Journal articles Heather Lynch Journal articles Heather Lynch

Penguins in the Anthropause: Covid-19 closures drive gentoo penguin movement among breeding colonies

Flynn, C.M, T. Hart, G.V. Clucas, and H.J. Lynch. 2023. Penguins in the anthropause: Covid-19 closures drive Gentoo penguin movement among breeding colonies. Biological Conservation 286: 110318.

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Journal articles Heather Lynch Journal articles Heather Lynch

Capturing stochasticity properly is key to understanding the LPI

Talis, E., and H.J. Lynch. 2023. Letter: Capturing stochasticity properly is key to understanding the nuances of the Living Planet Index. Nature Ecology & Evolution https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-023-02086-w

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Journal articles Heather Lynch Journal articles Heather Lynch

Antarctic Penguin Biogeography Project

Che-Castaldo, C., G. Humphries, and H.J. Lynch. 2023. Antarctic Penguin Biogeography Project: Database of abundance and distribution for the Adélie, chinstrap, gentoo, emperor, macaroni, and king penguin south of 60 S. Biodiversity Data Journal 11: e101476.

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Journal articles Heather Lynch Journal articles Heather Lynch

Penguindex: A Living Planet Index for Pygoscelis Species Penguins

Talis, Emma, C. Che-Castaldo, T. Hart, L. McCrae, and H.J. Lynch. 2023. Penguindex: A biodiversity indicator for Pygoscelis spp. penguins identifies key eras of population change. Polar Biology, Online at https://doi.org/10.1007/s00300-023-03148-2

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Journal articles Heather Lynch Journal articles Heather Lynch

Adelie penguins north and east of the Adelie gap continue to thrive in the face of dramatic declines

Wethington, M., C. Flynn, A. Borowicz, and H.J. Lynch. 2023. Adélie penguins north and east of the ‘Adélie gap’ continue to thrive in the face of dramatic declines elsewhere in the Antarctic Peninsula region. Scientific Reports 13: 2525.

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Journal articles Heather Lynch Journal articles Heather Lynch

Spatio-temporal transferability of environmentally dependent population models

Sen, B., C. Che-Castaldo, K. Krumhardt, L. Landrum, M.M. Holland, M.A. LaRue, M.C. Long, S. Jenouvrier, and H.J. Lynch. 2023. Spatio-temporal transferability of environmentally-dependent population models: Insights from the intrinsic predictabilities of Adelie penguin abundance time series. Ecological Indicators 150: 110239.

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Journal articles Heather Lynch Journal articles Heather Lynch

Ant-ICON ‘Integrated Science to Inform Antarctic and Southern Ocean Conservation’

Hughes, K.A., M. Santos, J. A. Caccavo, S. Chignell, N. Gardiner, N. Gilbert, A. Howkins, B. J. van Vuuren, J. R. Lee, D. Liggett, A. Lowther, H. Lynch, A. Quesada, H. Chul Shin, A. Soutullo, and A. Terauds. 2022. Ant-ICON ‘Integrated Science to Inform Antarctic and Southern Ocean Conservation’: a new SCAR research programme. Antarctic Science 34(6): 446-455.

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Journal articles Heather Lynch Journal articles Heather Lynch

Difficulties in summing log-normal distributions for abundance and potential solutions

Talis, E., C. Che-Castaldo, and H.J. Lynch. 2023. Difficulties in summing distributions for abundance and potential solutions. PLoS ONE 18(1): e0280351.

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Journal articles Heather Lynch Journal articles Heather Lynch

Threat management priorities for conserving Antarctic biodiversity

Lee, J. R., A. Terauds, J. Carwardine, J. D. Shaw, R. A. Fuller, H. P. Possingham, S. L. Chown, P. Convey, N. Gilbert, K. A. Hughes, E. McIvor, S. Robinson, Y. Ropert-Coudert, D. Bergstrom, E. M. Biersma, C. Christian, D. Cowan, Y. Frenot, S. Jenouvrier, L. Kelley, M. J. Lee, H.J. Lynch, B. Njastad, A. Quesada, R. Roura, E.A. Shaw, D. Stanwell-Smith, M. Tsujimoto, D. H. Wall, A. Wilmotte, and I. Chadès. Threat management priorities for conserving Antarctic biodiversity. PLoS Biology 20(12): e3001921.

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Journal articles Heather Lynch Journal articles Heather Lynch

Variability, skipped breeding, and heavy-tailed dynamics in an Antarctic seabird

Talis, E., C. Che-Castaldo, B. Sen, K. Krumhardt, and H.J. Lynch. Variability, skipped breeding, and heavy-tailed dynamics in an Antarctic seabird. Journal of Animal Ecology 91: 2437-2450.

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Journal articles Heather Lynch Journal articles Heather Lynch

SealNet 2.0: Human-level fully-automated pack-ice seal detection

Goncalves, B.C., M. Wethington, and H.J. Lynch. 2022. SealNet 2.0: Human-level fully-automated pack-ice seal detection in very-high resolution satellite imagery with CNN model ensembles. Remote Sensing 14(22): 5655.

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Journal articles Heather Lynch Journal articles Heather Lynch

Age-structured model reveals prolonged immigration is key for colony establishment in gentoo penguins

Herman, R.W, and H.J. Lynch. 2022. Age-structured model reveals prolonged immigration is key for colony establishment in Gentoo Penguins. In Press at Ornithological Applications.

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Journal articles Heather Lynch Journal articles Heather Lynch

Islands in the ice: Potential impacts of habitat transformation on Antarctic biodiversity

Lee, J.R., M.J. Waterman, J.D. Shaw, D.M. Bergstrom, H.J. Lynch, D.H. Wall, and S.A. Robinson. 2022. Islands in the ice: Potential impacts of habitat transformation on Antarctic biodiversity. In Press at Global Change Biology.

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Journal articles Heather Lynch Journal articles Heather Lynch

Switching state-space models for modeling penguin population dynamics

El-Laham, Y., M. Bugallo, and H.J. Lynch. 2022. Switching state-space models for modeling penguin population dynamics. In Press at Environmental and Ecological Statistics.

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Journal articles ScienceSites Journal articles ScienceSites

A Convolutional Neural Network Architecture Designed for the Automated Survey of Seabird Colonies

Le, H., D. Samaras, and H.J. Lynch. 2022. A convolutional neural network architecture designed for the automated survey of seabird colonies. Remote Sensing of Ecology & Conservation 8(2): 251-262.

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Journal articles, 2021 ScienceSites Journal articles, 2021 ScienceSites

Lack of Synchronized Breeding Success in a Seabird Community: Extreme Events, Niche Separation, and Environmental Variability

Youngflesh, C., Y. Li, H.J. Lynch, K. Delord, C. Barbraud, R. Ji, and S. Jenouvrier. 2021. In press at Oikos.

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Journal articles, 2021 ScienceSites Journal articles, 2021 ScienceSites

Fine-Scale Sea Ice Extraction for High-Resolution Satellite Imagery with Weakly-Supervised CNNs

Goncalves, B.G. and H.J. Lynch. 2021. Remote Sensing 13: 3562.

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Journal articles, 2021 ScienceSites Journal articles, 2021 ScienceSites

Ecosystems Services in Antarctica: Global Assessment of the Current State, Future Challenges and Managing Opportunities

Pertierra, L.R., F. Santos-Martin, K.A. Hughes, C. Avila, J.O. Caceres, D. De Filippo, S. Gonzalez, S. Grant, H. Lynch, C. Marina-Montes, A. Quesada, P. Tejedo, T. Tin, J. Benayas. 2021. Ecosystem Services 49: 101299.

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Journal articles, 2021 ScienceSites Journal articles, 2021 ScienceSites

Fifty-Year Change in Penguin Abundance on Elephant Island, South Shetland Islands, Antarctica: Results of the 2019-20 Census

Strycker, N., A. Borowicz, M. Wethington, S. Forrest, V. Shah, Y. Liu, H. Singh, H. J. Lynch. 2021. Polar Biology 44(1): 1-12.

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2017, Journal articles ScienceSites 2017, Journal articles ScienceSites

Antarctica and the Strategic Plan for Biodiversity 2011–2020

Chown, S.L., M.A. McGeoch, A. Terauds, C. Le Bohec, C. van Klaveren-Impagliazzo, J. Whittington, C. Brooks, S. Butchart, B.W.T Coetzee, B. Collen, P. Convey, K.J. Gaston, N. Gilbert, M. Gill, R. Höft, S. Johnston, M.C. Kennicutt II, H. Kriesell, Y. Le Maho, H.J. Lynch, M. Palomares, R. Puig-Marcó, P. Stoett. 2017. PLoS Biology 15(3): e2001656.

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Journal articles, 2017 ScienceSites Journal articles, 2017 ScienceSites

Circumpolar Analysis of the Adélie Penguin Reveals the Importance of Environmental Variability in Phenological Mismatch

Youngflesh, C., S. Jenouvrier, Y. Li, R. Ji, D. G. Ainley, G. Ballard, C. Barbraud, K. Delord, K. M. Dugger, L. M. Emmerson, W. R. Fraser, J. T. Hinke, P. O’B. Lyver, S. Olmastroni, C. J. Southwell, S. G. Trivelpiece, W. Z. Trivelpiece, H. J. Lynch. 2017. Ecology 98(4): 940-951.

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2015, Reference books and reports ScienceSites 2015, Reference books and reports ScienceSites

Important Bird Areas in Antarctica Summary 2015

Harris, C.M., K. Lorenz, L.D.C. Fishpool, B. Lascelles, J. Cooper, N. Coria, J.P. Croxall, L.M. Emmerson, R. Fijn, P. Jouventin, M.A. LaRue, Y. Le Maho, H.J. Lynch, R. Naveen, S. Poncet, R.A. Phillips, C.J. Southwell, J.A. van Franeker, H. Weimerskirch, B. Wienecke, and E.J. Woehler. 2015. BirdLife International and Environmental Research & Assessment Ltd., Cambridge.

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